With inflation slowing, the SBP is anticipated to lower the policy rate for the eighth time in a row.

Businesspeople anticipate another reduction in the policy rate when the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) releases the updated rate.
The interest rate for the upcoming two months will be announced by the central bank. It is still unclear if the rate will stay the same or be lowered to reflect stakeholder expectations.
According to experts, the policy rate will be lowered in order to further boost the nation’s economic sector.
Interest rates may be lowered for the seventh time in a row if the inflation rate declines significantly more than anticipated.
In its last six sessions, the MPC had cut the policy rate by 10 percent. In January 2025, it decreased the rate by one percent to 12pc.
12PC POLICY RATE
In January, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced cut in key policy rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 12 percent from 13pc in line with expectations of the business community.
The policy rate, which had been at 22 percent since June 2024, was slashed by 1,000 basis points to 12 percent.
The SBP governor said the decision was taken with careful consideration. “Although inflation is expected to decline next month (February), core inflation remains a pressing concern,” he stated.
Ahmed highlighted strong remittance inflows and robust export growth as key factors supporting the current account.